Surrey is the largest city by land area and second most populated in Metro Vancouver, with a population estimated at 726,369 as of July 2025. Population is projected to swell from 701,000 in 2024 to 771,000 by 2031, cresting 897,000 in 2041 before hitting 1.005 million in 2051 - making it the first BC city to crack seven figures. This sustained population growth, combined with major infrastructure investments and relatively lower price points compared to Vancouver, makes Surrey a compelling market for real estate investors in 2026.
Current Market Conditions for Investors
The average home price in Surrey is approximately $980,000, down 2.5% year-over-year. Transaction activity slowed during 2025 compared to earlier peak years, with the volume of Surrey homes for sale increasing significantly. Active listings are roughly 40-50% above the five-year average. The sold-to-list price ratio has settled around 96-97%, providing buyers with 3-4% negotiating room on most properties. The Fraser Valley composite benchmark price decreased to $895,100 in February 2026, down 8.6% year-over-year. Prices have reached pandemic-era levels after ten consecutive months of decline, creating potential entry points for long-term investors. The sales-to-active listings ratio sits at 10%, indicating a buyer's market where balanced is typically 12-20%.
Rental Market Analysis
The median rent across all bedroom counts and property types in Surrey sits at $1,900 per month, decreased 10% year-over-year and 3% month-over-month. By bedroom count: 1-bedroom apartments approximately $1,750 per month, 2-bedroom apartments approximately $2,200 per month, and houses for rent approximately $2,500 per month. Rent distribution shows 72% of rentals fall in the $1,501-$3,000 range. However, investors should note that the Greater Vancouver vacancy rate more than doubled from 1.6% to 3.7%, the highest in more than 30 years. A softer rental market due to both increased supply and lower demand led to the lowest same-sample percentage rent change in 20 years. Vacancies in Surrey are expected to be higher in the coming years. Rental stock grew significantly in Surrey but leasing difficulties increased due to competition from recent condominium apartment completions. CMHC confirms rental market affordability will continue to improve as high vacancies and slower rent growth persist.
Investment by Neighbourhood
Investors targeting different strategies will find opportunities across Surrey's distinct neighbourhoods. Central City with its benchmark of $564,000 offers the lowest entry point, largely through condos near SkyTrain providing strong rental demand from transit-dependent tenants. The current population of 132,390 is projected to reach 170,970 by 2031 - the highest growth of any Surrey neighbourhood. Guildford benchmark at $746,200 provides affordable entry with diverse housing types and proximity to Guildford Town Centre, one of BC's largest shopping malls. Fleetwood at $1,184,000 benchmark will benefit from the Surrey-Langley SkyTrain extension, with homes within approximately 500 meters of a SkyTrain station selling at a premium compared to similar properties farther away. South Surrey commands the premium at $1,247,300 benchmark but appeals to investors targeting higher-income tenants. Morgan Creek is known for high-end homes and excellent schools with properties from $1.4 million to $4 million.
SkyTrain Impact on Property Values
The Surrey Langley SkyTrain is a 16 km fully-elevated extension of the Expo Line with eight new stations: Green Timbers, 152 Street, Fleetwood, Bakerview-166 Street, Hillcrest-184 Street, Clayton, Willowbrook and Langley City Centre. Passenger service is anticipated in late 2028 to 2029. Around 20,000 jobs will be created near stations and approximately 100,000 homes will be built within 800 meters of stations. Areas around all eight stations are designated transit-oriented development areas. Values have appreciated even before new stations officially open, driven by anticipation of improved connectivity. Transit-oriented development often brings new shops, restaurants, and community services, further enhancing property values and rental demand.
Market Forecast
Multiple agencies forecast modest recovery. CMHC projects 2026 prices rising 2.2% to 5%. TD Economics predicts 4.1% growth nationally. However, BMO Capital Markets expects home prices will not recover pandemic peaks until 2029. Ground-oriented construction for single-detached and townhomes is expected to remain stable with modest 2027-2028 growth. International migration to BC is declining in 2026, which may temper demand growth.
Clayton Heights
- Avg Price
- $1,283,600
- For Sale
- 21
Fleetwood
- Avg Price
- $1,037,894
- For Sale
- 67
Newton
- Avg Price
- $1,264,500
- For Sale
- 105
Cloverdale
- Avg Price
- $1,674,400
- For Sale
- 66
Grandview Heights
- Avg Price
- $421,300
- For Sale
- 67
Whalley
- Avg Price
- $945,000
- For Sale
- 122
Sullivan Station
- Avg Price
- $709,900
- For Sale
- 33
Surrey City Centre
- Avg Price
- $2,450
- For Sale
- 24
Ocean Park
- Avg Price
- $2,290,000
- For Sale
- 13
East Newton
- Avg Price
- $819,000
- For Sale
- 38
West Newton
- Avg Price
- $699,900
- For Sale
- 40
Panorama Ridge
- Avg Price
- $1,199,000
- For Sale
- 16
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